← Capybara Cards Store Championship
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Capybara Cards Store Championship
decks
2
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-4-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.6%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1369
· median 1369
· range 1326–1412
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1219
Q3 1392
1563
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.0% | +14.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Fire Exia | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.3 |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
