← Illusive TCG Presents ONLINE WEBCAM REGIONAL
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Illusive TCG Presents ONLINE WEBCAM REGIONAL .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 3.2% | 12 | 75.0% | 58.6% | 57.7% | 53.7% | 1350 | — |
| 2 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 75.0% | 50.7% | 57.0% | 51.1% | 1560 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Luxem Assassin | 2 | 3.2% | 9 | 55.6% | 47.9% | 53.9% | 50.2% | 1342 | — |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 6 | 9.5% | 30 | 56.7% | 51.1% | 53.9% | 51.0% | 1381 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Allies | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 66.7% | 57.7% | 53.9% | 53.3% | 1257 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Aetherwing | 7 | 11.1% | 37 | 55.4% | 54.2% | 53.7% | 52.5% | 1349 | — |
| 7 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 66.7% | 48.1% | 53.6% | 49.0% | 1419 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Umbra Guardian | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 66.7% | 57.2% | 53.2% | 52.4% | 1330 | — |
| 9 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 4 | 6.3% | 21 | 61.9% | 50.4% | 52.8% | 49.7% | 1357 | — |
| 10 | Water Aetherwing | 3 | 4.8% | 17 | 50.0% | 54.9% | 52.1% | 52.2% | 1333 | — |
| 11 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 5 | 7.9% | 26 | 59.6% | 53.1% | 50.5% | 49.8% | 1351 | — |
| 12 | Water Genbu | 2 | 3.2% | 12 | 54.2% | 44.8% | 49.4% | 47.3% | 1350 | — |
| 13 | Fire Crux Mage | 4 | 6.3% | 21 | 42.9% | 48.1% | 49.2% | 50.1% | 1263 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 33.3% | 47.8% | 49.1% | 51.1% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 41.7% | 44.9% | 48.0% | 47.9% | 1408 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 50.0% | 48.5% | 48.0% | 48.8% | 1386 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 3.2% | 10 | 40.0% | 49.2% | 47.6% | 49.9% | 1323 | — |
| 18 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 50.0% | 51.2% | 47.5% | 49.7% | 1366 | — |
| 19 | Fire Suited | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 33.3% | 50.1% | 47.3% | 49.9% | 1245 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.6% | 5 | 20.0% | 44.2% | 46.4% | 49.3% | 1237 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Wind Seiryuu | 4 | 6.3% | 20 | 35.0% | 50.3% | 44.9% | 50.0% | 1309 | — |
| 22 | Fire Umbra Diana | 1 | 1.6% | 4 | 25.0% | 45.2% | 44.0% | 47.3% | 1425 | ↑ top |
| 23 | Wind Shadowstrike | 8 | 12.7% | 37 | 37.8% | 44.5% | 43.1% | 46.7% | 1289 | — |
| 24 | Fire Tera Tamer | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 33.3% | 45.7% | 41.9% | 46.4% | 1278 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Wind Merlin | 1 | 1.6% | 5 | 40.0% | 44.5% | 41.7% | 44.6% | 1353 | — |
| 26 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 1.6% | 2 | 0.0% | 42.1% | 40.0% | 44.9% | 1270 | ↓ low |