← Grand Archive: Phantom Monarchs - Regional Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive: Phantom Monarchs - Regional Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

2nd

Water Genbu

56.9%

4.7% share · 9 matches

11.6% share · 28 matches

2.3% share · 6 matches

↑ top

#	Archetype	Decks	Share	Matches	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1	Water Aetherwing	5	11.6%	28	69.6%	58.6%	58.8%	55.1%	1421	↑ top
2	Water Genbu	2	4.7%	9	66.7%	53.9%	56.9%	53.4%	1487	↑ top
3	Wind Luxem Assassin	1	2.3%	6	66.7%	59.4%	56.4%	55.1%	1364	↑ top
4	Fire Suzaku	2	4.7%	13	61.5%	66.7%	53.8%	57.6%	1331	—
5	Water Luxem Assassin	1	2.3%	6	66.7%	46.8%	53.7%	47.9%	1420	↑ top
6	Water Allies	2	4.7%	11	68.2%	61.1%	53.5%	53.1%	1392	↑ top
7	Wind Shadowstrike	3	7.0%	19	63.2%	47.7%	52.3%	48.0%	1405	↑ top
8	Fire Aggro	3	7.0%	17	41.2%	42.9%	51.1%	50.7%	1261	—
9	Fire Firebloom Burn	1	2.3%	7	42.9%	41.4%	50.5%	48.2%	1421	↑ top
10	Wind Seiryuu	4	9.3%	24	54.2%	56.4%	47.4%	49.0%	1317	—
11	Water Fractal	8	18.6%	33	43.9%	46.0%	46.3%	47.3%	1299	—
12	Wind Byakko	2	4.7%	11	27.3%	41.7%	45.9%	49.4%	1208	↓ low
13	Water Ravishing Mill	2	4.7%	12	54.2%	57.1%	45.5%	47.6%	1291	—
14	Wind Slice & Dice	1	2.3%	4	25.0%	46.1%	44.3%	48.0%	1147	↓ low
15	Fire Slimes	2	4.7%	8	25.0%	41.1%	44.0%	46.2%	1104	↓ low
16	Fire Luxem Assassin	1	2.3%	6	33.3%	44.1%	43.9%	46.9%	1211	↓ low
17	Wind Umbra Ranger	1	2.3%	6	33.3%	49.1%	41.6%	47.2%	1148	↓ low
18	Fire Oblation	1	2.3%	5	20.0%	34.4%	41.2%	42.5%	1242	↓ low
19	Water Chess	1	2.3%	4	0.0%	35.8%	40.0%	44.2%	976	↓ low
20	Fire Umbra Ciel	1	2.3%	3	0.0%	35.6%	40.0%	44.0%	1168	↓ low