Valkyrie Games Phantom Monarch Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	5	12.5%	15-7-6	64.3%	59.1%	54.6%	53.6%	1326	—
2		Water Allies	Tier 1	4	10.0%	14-8-2	62.5%	57.1%	51.1%	51.6%	1306	—
3		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	7.5%	10-7-1	58.3%	51.8%	52.9%	50.8%	1384	↑ top
4		Water Fractal	Tier 2	3	7.5%	6-7-4	47.1%	50.8%	46.9%	48.0%	1227	—
5		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	3	7.5%	11-3-3	73.5%	56.9%	57.3%	51.9%	1462	↑ top
6		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	5.0%	3-5-2	40.0%	47.5%	46.0%	48.4%	1172	↓ low
7		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	5.0%	3-7-2	33.3%	46.1%	43.3%	47.1%	1279	—
8		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	5.0%	4-8-0	33.3%	37.5%	45.9%	46.5%	1254	—
9		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	5.0%	4-7-1	37.5%	38.3%	47.2%	47.8%	1242	—
10		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	5.0%	7-5-0	58.3%	39.5%	52.0%	47.1%	1449	↑ top
11		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.5%	0-5-0	0.0%	29.6%	37.3%	41.9%	994	↓ low
12		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.5%	5-1-0	83.3%	71.7%	56.1%	56.9%	1254	—
13		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	2.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	38.9%	48.2%	46.2%	1255	—
14		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.5%	2-5-0	28.6%	32.0%	43.6%	42.3%	1347	↑ top
15		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	55.6%	47.3%	50.2%	1349	↑ top
16		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.5%	1-2-3	41.7%	53.1%	48.0%	50.7%	1094	↓ low
17		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	2.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	47.5%	46.2%	46.5%	1342	—
18		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	55.3%	44.8%	47.8%	1383	↑ top
19		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.5%	1-5-1	21.4%	45.8%	41.8%	47.2%	1013	↓ low
20		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.5%	3-2-1	58.3%	59.6%	54.2%	55.2%	1212	↓ low
21		Wind Alice	Tier 2	1	2.5%	2-4-0	33.3%	49.2%	44.3%	47.9%	1181	↓ low
22		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.5%	2-4-0	33.3%	52.2%	44.3%	49.2%	1117	↓ low
23		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	2.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	54.9%	48.3%	50.5%	1252	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Seiryuu 5 decks · 12.5%
• Water Allies 4 decks · 10.0%
• Fire Aetherwing 3 decks · 7.5%
• Water Fractal 3 decks · 7.5%
• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 7.5%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 5.0%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 5.0%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 5.0%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 5.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 5.0%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.5%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.5%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 2.5%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.5%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.5%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.5%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 2.5%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.5%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 2.5%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.5%
• Wind Alice 1 deck · 2.5%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.5%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 2.5%