Fire AetherwingTier 2
at PTM 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
7-0-2
overall winrate
88.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.6%
avg ELO +6.8 per match
expected value
58.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1502
· median 1502
· range 1502–1502
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1146
Q1 1212
Q3 1386
1694
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 15.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Water Fractal | 12.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Wind Arcane | 6.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.5% | +2.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
