← PTM 店家冠軍賽

Wind SeiryuuTier 2

at PTM 店家冠軍賽

decks
4 (12.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17 5-9-3
overall winrate
38.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.4% avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
48.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1280 · median 1280 · range 1194–1368 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1146 Q1 1212 Q3 1386 1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 15.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.2% +17.9
Water Fractal 12.1% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 33.4% -15.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 9.1% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 53.6% +2.7
Water Aetherwing 9.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 46.6% -5.4
Wind Arcane 6.1% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 6.1% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 55.2% +5.0
Fire Aetherwing 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.4% -7.4
Fire Crux Merlin 3.0% 0
Fire Exia 3.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.6% +1.0
Fire Suzaku 3.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.4% +13.4
Horse and Taxes 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.2% -15.6
Water Tera Cleric 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.0% -14.5
Water Umbra Ciel 3.0% 0
Wind Allies 3.0% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.5% -12.0
Wind Byakko 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.9% -8.1
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.0% 0
Wind Umbra Ranger 3.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.0% -6.4
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 44 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 44 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Dilu, Auspicious Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Calming Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Orb of Sealing -1.00 0 1 0
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Perse, Relentless Raptor +1.00 1 0 0
Longtail Grovesward -1.00 0 1 0
Royal Oathguard -1.00 0 1 0
Candlelight Hourglass +1.00 1 0 0
Squallbind Pounce +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Focusing Round +1.00 1 0 0
Enfeebling Orb -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Beastbond Boots +1.00 1 0 0
Winds of Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Fluffy Shopkeep +1.00 1 0 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Reveal the Hidden +1.00 1 0 0
Harness Lightning -1.00 0 1 0
Windmill Engineer -1.00 0 1 0
Lost Providence -1.00 0 1 0
Advent of the Shenju +1.00 1 0 0
Trained Hawk -1.00 0 1 0
Fabled Emerald Fatestone +1.00 1 0 0
Bestial Frenzy +1.00 1 0 0
Backstep +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 1 0
Imperious Galebind +1.00 1 0 0
Spellward Scepter -1.00 0 1 0
Incapacitate -1.00 0 1 0
Brisk Windtrotter +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0
Byakko's Command -1.00 0 1 0
Geldus, Terror of Dorumegia +1.00 1 0 0
Ducal Seal -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Seiryuu's Command -1.00 0 1 0
Skirting Step +1.00 1 0 0
Beseeched Fatestone -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/45025/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu