Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at PTM 店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(6.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
7-4-2
overall winrate
61.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.9%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
54.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1345
· median 1345
· range 1221–1469
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1146
Q1 1212
Q3 1386
1694
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 15.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 63.4% | +10.0 |
| Water Fractal | 12.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.8% | -5.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.2% | +21.1 |
| Wind Arcane | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.1 |
| Fire Exia | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +4.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
