Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at PTM 店家冠軍賽
decks
3
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
6-11-0
overall winrate
35.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.7%
avg ELO -2.1 per match
expected value
46.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1215
· median 1173
· range 1165–1307
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1146
Q1 1212
Q3 1386
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 15.2% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 66.8% | +9.7 |
| Water Fractal | 12.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.2% | -10.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.4% | -2.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 6.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.3% | -8.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.6% | -13.8 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
