← FTG PTM Regional Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at FTG PTM Regional Championship
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.9%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
49.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1139
· median 1139
· range 1139–1139
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1190
Q3 1381
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Fractal | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Water Genbu | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
