← FTG PTM Regional Championship
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at FTG PTM Regional Championship
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -2.9 |
| Water Fractal | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.0% | +3.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.4% | -6.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.4 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.6% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.4% | -6.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
| Wind Allies | 2.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Wind Chess | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Wind Exia | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 17 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calming Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |