FTG PTM Regional Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	5	13.2%	12-14-3	46.6%	43.3%	50.1%	49.1%	1304	—
2		Water Fractal	Tier 2	4	10.5%	8-11-0	42.1%	49.1%	46.8%	49.6%	1284	—
3		Water Genbu	Tier 1	3	7.9%	9-5-2	62.5%	53.8%	53.5%	51.0%	1379	↑ top
4		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	3	7.9%	8-3-7	63.9%	51.8%	53.8%	51.1%	1488	↑ top
5		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	5.3%	5-6-1	45.8%	38.5%	45.3%	43.9%	1376	↑ top
6		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	5.3%	4-7-1	37.5%	45.6%	47.1%	49.0%	1221	↓ low
7		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	63.9%	59.8%	59.0%	1262	—
8		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	52.6%	45.0%	50.5%	1109	↓ low
9		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-4-0	42.9%	52.9%	49.3%	51.1%	1139	↓ low
10		Fire Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-3-0	0.0%	33.3%	40.0%	41.8%	1175	↓ low
11		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	52.7%	47.3%	49.0%	1278	—
12		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	2.6%	5-0-1	91.7%	60.5%	57.9%	53.9%	1656	↑ top
13		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	60.8%	52.0%	56.1%	1234	↓ low
14		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	56.6%	55.0%	50.7%	1364	↑ top
15		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-4-1	10.0%	42.3%	40.8%	46.1%	957	↓ low
16		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-0-3	75.0%	66.2%	59.3%	59.8%	1378	↑ top
17		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	51.1%	48.7%	49.6%	1445	↑ top
18		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-5-0	0.0%	38.0%	40.0%	46.1%	989	↓ low
19		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	48.4%	51.0%	49.9%	1349	—
20		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	53.7%	45.6%	49.1%	1153	↓ low
21		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-0-3	75.0%	66.2%	59.3%	59.8%	1378	↑ top
22		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-2-1	50.0%	60.4%	46.2%	52.4%	1355	—
23		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-1-3	64.3%	52.3%	54.2%	52.1%	1453	↑ top
24		Wind Chess	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-3-1	12.5%	32.1%	41.4%	42.9%	1171	↓ low
25		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	40.3%	48.9%	46.6%	1382	↑ top
26		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	43.6%	52.0%	53.3%	1226	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 13.2%
• Water Fractal 4 decks · 10.5%
• Water Genbu 3 decks · 7.9%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 7.9%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Genbu 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Umbra Alice 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Chess 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.6%