← FTG PTM Regional Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at FTG PTM Regional Championship
decks
5
(13.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
29
12-14-3
overall winrate
46.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.3%
avg ELO -2.4 per match
expected value
50.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1304
· median 1267
· range 1167–1474
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1190
Q3 1381
1656
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 10.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.3% | +1.0 |
| Water Genbu | 7.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.4% | -2.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +2.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.3% | +10.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.7% | -21.3 |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Fire Genbu | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.0% | -7.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.5% | +5.3 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -13.6 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -13.6 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Wind Allies | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.5 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
