Carta Magica PTM Regionals - Hosted @ New Realm Games, Vaughan

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	5	11.9%	14-14-4	50.0%	47.3%	48.2%	47.5%	1307	—
2		Water Fractal	Tier 1	4	9.5%	12-7-1	62.5%	56.7%	55.7%	53.7%	1329	—
3		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	3	7.1%	4-8-3	36.7%	54.1%	47.5%	52.4%	1175	↓ low
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	4.8%	7-3-2	66.7%	70.5%	52.1%	54.2%	1371	↑ top
5		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	4.8%	7-4-1	62.5%	46.4%	55.4%	51.1%	1394	↑ top
6		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	4.8%	5-6-0	45.5%	51.3%	46.2%	48.2%	1307	—
7		Wind Arcane	Tier 1	2	4.8%	6-7-0	46.2%	56.1%	50.8%	52.4%	1233	—
8		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	4.8%	2-8-0	20.0%	35.0%	44.1%	47.4%	1110	↓ low
9		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-2-0	0.0%	37.1%	40.0%	41.5%	1153	↓ low
10		Fire Alice	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-4-0	33.3%	49.5%	43.6%	46.8%	1088	↓ low
11		Fire Arisanna	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-3-0	0.0%	32.4%	40.0%	41.9%	1063	↓ low
12		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.4%	5-1-1	78.6%	76.2%	54.5%	57.8%	1344	↑ top
13		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-5-1	8.3%	29.0%	40.9%	43.9%	1201	↓ low
14		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-1-1	75.0%	52.0%	59.6%	51.6%	1415	↑ top
15		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-4-2	28.6%	45.5%	43.8%	46.8%	1049	↓ low
16		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	59.3%	51.2%	53.9%	1153	↓ low
17		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-3-0	25.0%	39.8%	41.7%	42.5%	1158	↓ low
18		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.4%	5-1-0	83.3%	59.3%	57.5%	53.6%	1390	↑ top
19		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.4%	5-0-1	91.7%	66.9%	60.7%	58.5%	1439	↑ top
20		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-1-1	75.0%	44.7%	56.4%	48.7%	1750	↑ top
21		Water Nico	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	31.7%	51.1%	43.7%	1549	↑ top
22		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-4-0	42.9%	54.6%	45.5%	49.6%	1210	↓ low
23		Water Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-3-0	40.0%	46.1%	45.5%	46.6%	1162	↓ low
24		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-2-0	66.7%	55.7%	51.1%	50.2%	1269	—
25		Wind Alice	Tier 2	1	2.4%	5-1-1	78.6%	55.7%	57.5%	53.1%	1436	↑ top
26		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	37.8%	50.7%	47.4%	1480	↑ top
27		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-4-1	25.0%	40.4%	44.5%	46.4%	1115	↓ low
28		Wind Luxem Tamer	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-3-2	33.3%	53.3%	47.1%	52.2%	1122	↓ low
29		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-2-0	33.3%	45.7%	42.9%	45.9%	1190	↓ low
30		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	37.8%	50.7%	47.4%	1480	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 11.9%
• Water Fractal 4 decks · 9.5%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 4.8%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 4.8%
• Wind Arcane 2 decks · 4.8%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 4.8%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Alice 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Arisanna 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Nico 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Tera Cleric 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Alice 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Luxem Tamer 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.4%