← Penang’s First Ever Grand Archive Regional
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Penang’s First Ever Grand Archive Regional.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aetherwing | 2 | 2.0% | 14 | 67.9% | 63.1% | 56.2% | 55.6% | 1342 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Arcane | 2 | 2.0% | 14 | 57.1% | 56.2% | 54.6% | 54.1% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 57.1% | 48.3% | 54.5% | 52.9% | 1278 | — |
| 4 | Water Luxem Assassin | 2 | 2.0% | 10 | 60.0% | 47.4% | 54.0% | 50.0% | 1309 | — |
| 5 | Water Aetherwing | 4 | 4.0% | 24 | 62.5% | 67.8% | 53.6% | 56.1% | 1350 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 6 | 6.1% | 39 | 53.8% | 44.8% | 52.9% | 49.6% | 1322 | — |
| 7 | Wind Overlord | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 50.0% | 48.0% | 52.8% | 52.3% | 1301 | — |
| 8 | Fire Oblation | 3 | 3.0% | 21 | 54.8% | 53.4% | 52.7% | 50.8% | 1311 | — |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 13 | 13.1% | 74 | 58.8% | 54.1% | 52.6% | 51.2% | 1356 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Umbra Ciel | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 64.3% | 62.8% | 52.2% | 53.3% | 1237 | — |
| 11 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 78.6% | 57.3% | 51.9% | 49.4% | 1522 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Water Allies | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 71.4% | 71.6% | 51.9% | 54.7% | 1335 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Fire Crux Mage | 8 | 8.1% | 44 | 52.3% | 49.9% | 51.3% | 49.9% | 1335 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 57.1% | 46.7% | 51.3% | 49.6% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Fire Aggro | 5 | 5.1% | 35 | 48.6% | 47.9% | 49.8% | 49.1% | 1296 | — |
| 16 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 4 | 4.0% | 26 | 42.3% | 47.9% | 49.6% | 50.2% | 1194 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Exia | 1 | 1.0% | 6 | 41.7% | 50.2% | 49.6% | 51.1% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 4 | 4.0% | 28 | 55.4% | 55.6% | 49.4% | 52.0% | 1329 | — |
| 19 | Fire Suited | 2 | 2.0% | 14 | 53.6% | 39.9% | 49.3% | 45.9% | 1314 | — |
| 20 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 3.0% | 21 | 50.0% | 46.4% | 47.8% | 46.9% | 1312 | — |
| 21 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 57.1% | 62.5% | 47.8% | 52.2% | 1268 | — |
| 22 | Water Fractal | 5 | 5.1% | 33 | 48.5% | 57.0% | 47.7% | 51.2% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Water Genbu | 5 | 5.1% | 33 | 45.5% | 48.1% | 47.6% | 48.4% | 1215 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 42.9% | 34.9% | 47.3% | 42.8% | 1403 | ↑ top |
| 25 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 35.7% | 31.7% | 47.1% | 44.8% | 1466 | ↑ top |
| 26 | Wind Allies | 5 | 5.1% | 34 | 47.1% | 56.4% | 46.8% | 50.3% | 1207 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 2.0% | 13 | 38.5% | 35.2% | 46.7% | 45.2% | 1318 | — |
| 28 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.0% | 7 | 21.4% | 31.8% | 46.0% | 45.7% | 1183 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 3 | 3.0% | 21 | 40.5% | 44.4% | 45.5% | 47.0% | 1194 | ↓ low |
| 30 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 1.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 42.5% | 44.7% | 47.2% | 1106 | ↓ low |
| 31 | Fire Umbra Alice | 2 | 2.0% | 13 | 26.9% | 37.5% | 43.8% | 45.9% | 1142 | ↓ low |
| 32 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 2.0% | 12 | 33.3% | 44.2% | 43.1% | 45.9% | 1212 | ↓ low |
| 33 | Slimes | 4 | 4.0% | 23 | 32.6% | 41.8% | 41.8% | 45.4% | 1140 | ↓ low |
| 34 | Wind Jin | 1 | 1.0% | 5 | 10.0% | 33.2% | 41.0% | 44.9% | 1214 | ↓ low |