Tainan Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	12	11.9%	41-27-5	59.6%	60.2%	54.3%	55.3%	1360	—
2		Water Fractal	Tier 1	11	10.9%	35-24-9	58.1%	52.9%	54.2%	51.5%	1339	—
3		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	10	9.9%	17-37-0	31.5%	41.4%	37.9%	43.4%	1223	↓ low
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	8	7.9%	25-25-2	50.0%	50.9%	49.7%	49.8%	1330	—
5		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	8	7.9%	22-20-7	52.0%	48.2%	50.9%	49.4%	1344	—
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	7	6.9%	23-18-5	55.4%	50.8%	52.2%	51.0%	1366	—
7		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	6	5.9%	14-16-4	47.1%	45.5%	50.3%	48.8%	1262	↓ low
8		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	5	5.0%	14-14-3	50.0%	49.4%	46.7%	47.4%	1305	—
9		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	5	5.0%	18-13-1	57.8%	51.3%	52.2%	50.7%	1404	↑ top
10		Water Genbu	Tier 1	5	5.0%	18-11-4	60.6%	56.0%	54.3%	52.1%	1361	—
11		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	3	3.0%	13-6-2	66.7%	59.6%	56.4%	54.8%	1421	↑ top
12		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	3	3.0%	9-9-0	50.0%	45.3%	50.2%	48.3%	1364	—
13		Fire Suited	Tier 3	2	2.0%	4-9-1	32.1%	42.5%	41.8%	44.7%	1205	↓ low
14		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	2.0%	8-4-1	65.4%	60.2%	53.2%	52.6%	1335	—
15		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 3	2	2.0%	4-7-0	36.4%	51.8%	47.3%	50.7%	1302	—
16		Fire Exia	Tier 3	1	1.0%	1-5-1	21.4%	39.3%	41.7%	44.9%	1147	↓ low
17		Fire Oblation	Tier 3	1	1.0%	3-4-0	42.9%	54.4%	46.8%	51.4%	1273	—
18		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	1.0%	4-4-0	50.0%	53.9%	51.7%	53.2%	1303	—
19		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	1.0%	4-1-2	71.4%	56.4%	53.6%	51.3%	1459	↑ top
20		Water Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.0%	1-3-0	25.0%	37.0%	47.3%	45.6%	1171	↓ low
21		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.0%	3-4-0	42.9%	42.5%	46.8%	46.3%	1441	↑ top
22		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.0%	2-5-0	28.6%	41.9%	39.5%	43.0%	1360	—
23		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.0%	1-6-0	14.3%	35.9%	43.0%	45.5%	1160	↓ low
24		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 3	1	1.0%	1-4-0	20.0%	39.9%	45.9%	47.9%	1101	↓ low
25		Wind Merlin	Tier 3	1	1.0%	2-5-0	28.6%	46.0%	46.8%	50.0%	1166	↓ low
26		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	1.0%	3-2-2	57.1%	49.3%	51.5%	49.2%	1309	—
27		Wind Slimes	Tier 3	1	1.0%	1-4-1	25.0%	36.8%	43.3%	44.7%	1239	↓ low
28		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.0%	1-5-0	16.7%	39.2%	39.4%	43.9%	1122	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Aetherwing 12 decks · 11.9%
• Water Fractal 11 decks · 10.9%
• Fire Aetherwing 10 decks · 9.9%
• Fire Crux Mage 8 decks · 7.9%
• Wind Seiryuu 8 decks · 7.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 7 decks · 6.9%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 6 decks · 5.9%
• Fire Aggro 5 decks · 5.0%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 5 decks · 5.0%
• Water Genbu 5 decks · 5.0%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 3.0%
• Wind Arcane 3 decks · 3.0%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 2.0%
• Water Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 2.0%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 2.0%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.0%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 1.0%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 1.0%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 1.0%
• Water Arcane 1 deck · 1.0%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.0%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.0%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.0%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.0%
• Wind Merlin 1 deck · 1.0%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 1.0%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 1.0%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.0%