Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Tainan Regional
decks
7
(6.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
46
23-18-5
overall winrate
55.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.8%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
52.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1366
· median 1380
· range 1205–1539
(7 pilots with an ELO rating)
945
Q1 1225
Q3 1408
1694
14% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
14% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 11.9% | 8 | 2-5-1 | 31.2% | 37.5% | 34.8% | -7.3 |
| Water Fractal | 10.9% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 45.6% | -2.8 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 9.9% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 70.1% | +12.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 44.5% | -3.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.8% | +6.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.9% | +9.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.3% | +1.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.1% | +3.8 |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +2.2 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.5% | +3.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -15.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.1% | -7.5 |
| Fire Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Merlin | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -22.9 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
The 7 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
