Card Merchant Hamilton PTM Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	5	14.7%	10-8-3	54.8%	47.8%	49.5%	47.5%	1368	—
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	4	11.8%	14-6-3	67.4%	53.4%	53.2%	50.8%	1452	↑ top
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	4	11.8%	15-8-1	64.6%	48.3%	56.8%	51.5%	1435	↑ top
4		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	3	8.8%	4-10-1	30.0%	48.7%	44.9%	50.9%	1167	↓ low
5		Water Allies	Tier 2	3	8.8%	7-6-3	53.1%	52.6%	49.0%	50.0%	1317	—
6		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	3	8.8%	7-9-2	44.4%	46.3%	47.8%	48.7%	1315	—
7		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	5.9%	4-8-0	33.3%	47.1%	46.0%	49.7%	1190	↓ low
8		Fire Suited	Tier 1	2	5.9%	7-6-0	53.8%	53.4%	51.5%	52.2%	1435	↑ top
9		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	39.6%	45.8%	46.6%	1275	—
10		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-3-1	41.7%	45.4%	47.2%	47.9%	1255	↓ low
11		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-5-0	28.6%	55.7%	45.5%	53.3%	1121	↓ low
12		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	57.0%	45.7%	53.6%	1198	↓ low
13		Water Byakko	Tier 2	1	2.9%	4-1-1	75.0%	62.3%	51.3%	52.3%	1427	↑ top
14		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.9%	4-1-1	75.0%	62.3%	51.3%	52.3%	1427	↑ top
15		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-5-0	16.7%	33.8%	44.4%	46.1%	1217	↓ low
16		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	52.8%	46.7%	48.8%	1315	—
17		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-4-0	42.9%	46.1%	50.0%	50.5%	1321	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 14.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 4 decks · 11.8%
• Water Aetherwing 4 decks · 11.8%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 3 decks · 8.8%
• Water Allies 3 decks · 8.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 8.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 5.9%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 5.9%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.9%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Byakko 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 2.9%