← Reaper Game Store - Texas Regional
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Reaper Game Store - Texas Regional.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 1.8% | 6 | 75.0% | 57.8% | 57.2% | 54.8% | 1417 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 3.6% | 12 | 75.0% | 60.9% | 54.6% | 52.9% | 1464 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Suited | 3 | 5.4% | 16 | 62.5% | 57.0% | 54.4% | 54.0% | 1343 | — |
| 4 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 1.8% | 6 | 75.0% | 70.8% | 54.0% | 57.2% | 1267 | — |
| 5 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 1.8% | 6 | 50.0% | 41.2% | 52.9% | 49.6% | 1317 | — |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 6 | 10.7% | 32 | 62.5% | 51.1% | 52.7% | 49.6% | 1373 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Genbu | 2 | 3.6% | 11 | 54.5% | 54.5% | 52.6% | 51.9% | 1436 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 3.6% | 12 | 62.5% | 67.0% | 52.0% | 55.0% | 1242 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Exia | 1 | 1.8% | 6 | 66.7% | 58.8% | 51.7% | 52.5% | 1428 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 1.8% | 6 | 66.7% | 46.1% | 51.5% | 46.9% | 1607 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Water Kongming | 1 | 1.8% | 6 | 50.0% | 52.2% | 51.3% | 52.9% | 1327 | — |
| 12 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 3.6% | 13 | 57.7% | 54.1% | 50.9% | 49.3% | 1277 | — |
| 13 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 1.8% | 6 | 41.7% | 50.2% | 50.7% | 52.6% | 1207 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Fractal | 1 | 1.8% | 6 | 50.0% | 54.9% | 50.5% | 52.7% | 1212 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Water Tera Cleric | 2 | 3.6% | 9 | 50.0% | 40.3% | 50.5% | 46.8% | 1366 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 3 | 5.4% | 18 | 52.8% | 51.1% | 50.3% | 50.6% | 1346 | — |
| 17 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 1.8% | 7 | 57.1% | 48.9% | 50.0% | 49.3% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Razorgale | 4 | 7.1% | 24 | 43.8% | 53.3% | 49.3% | 52.6% | 1266 | — |
| 19 | Wind Seiryuu | 5 | 8.9% | 27 | 48.1% | 44.6% | 49.0% | 47.5% | 1329 | — |
| 20 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 1.8% | 6 | 66.7% | 64.4% | 48.3% | 52.0% | 1299 | — |
| 21 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 1.8% | 6 | 41.7% | 37.1% | 46.7% | 43.3% | 1291 | — |
| 22 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 3.6% | 12 | 41.7% | 46.4% | 46.3% | 47.9% | 1237 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Slimes | 4 | 7.1% | 24 | 45.8% | 53.2% | 46.3% | 49.0% | 1184 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Chess | 1 | 1.8% | 6 | 41.7% | 57.6% | 45.9% | 50.0% | 1144 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.8% | 7 | 35.7% | 40.2% | 43.6% | 45.1% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 26 | Wind Diana | 1 | 1.8% | 7 | 28.6% | 51.4% | 43.3% | 48.1% | 1016 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 1.8% | 7 | 21.4% | 35.4% | 43.1% | 44.3% | 1175 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 1.8% | 4 | 25.0% | 45.4% | 42.2% | 45.6% | 1138 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 1.8% | 5 | 0.0% | 24.5% | 40.0% | 40.8% | 1127 | ↓ low |
| 30 | Water Slice & Dice | 1 | 1.8% | 5 | 0.0% | 24.5% | 40.0% | 40.8% | 1127 | ↓ low |
| 31 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 1.8% | 2 | 0.0% | 32.5% | 40.0% | 39.5% | 1323 | — |
| 32 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.8% | 1 | 0.0% | 47.5% | 40.0% | 47.5% | 1126 | ↓ low |
| 33 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 1.8% | 5 | 20.0% | 33.4% | 37.7% | 39.3% | 1258 | — |