← Whimsy RDO Store Championships

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Whimsy RDO Store Championships. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Water Aetherwing 4 9.8% 24 72.9% 58.6% 57.1% 53.1% 1521 ↑ top
2 Water Genbu 1 2.4% 7 85.7% 74.0% 55.4% 55.8% 1500 ↑ top
3 Wind Seiryuu 3 7.3% 15 66.7% 67.7% 53.9% 55.7% 1383
4 Fire Oblation 1 2.4% 6 66.7% 57.1% 52.3% 51.4% 1496 ↑ top
5 Fire Aetherwing 1 2.4% 6 66.7% 49.7% 52.3% 49.5% 1563 ↑ top
6 Wind Nico 1 2.4% 6 66.7% 53.6% 51.7% 49.8% 1445 ↑ top
7 Fire Suzaku 3 7.3% 16 59.4% 64.4% 51.4% 54.3% 1370
8 Wind Razorgale 3 7.3% 19 55.3% 54.9% 49.9% 50.5% 1412
9 Wind Astra Cleric 2 4.9% 12 50.0% 58.6% 49.4% 53.1% 1279 ↓ low
10 Water Exia 1 2.4% 6 50.0% 35.7% 49.2% 44.6% 1467 ↑ top
11 Water Whirlpool Mill 1 2.4% 6 50.0% 35.7% 49.2% 44.6% 1467 ↑ top
12 Wind Shadowstrike 2 4.9% 13 38.5% 55.3% 48.8% 52.8% 1253 ↓ low
13 Water Astra Ranger 1 2.4% 7 35.7% 48.2% 48.8% 50.4% 1341
14 Fire Slimes 2 4.9% 12 45.8% 37.3% 48.2% 44.4% 1390
15 Wind Crux Lorraine 3 7.3% 14 42.9% 53.3% 48.0% 50.5% 1317 ↓ low
16 Water Crux Mage 1 2.4% 5 50.0% 48.6% 47.0% 46.8% 1427 ↑ top
17 Fire Crux Mage 2 4.9% 10 40.0% 42.6% 46.9% 47.1% 1347
18 Fire Crux Lorraine 2 4.9% 10 40.0% 44.0% 46.5% 47.5% 1306 ↓ low
19 Water Allies 1 2.4% 6 41.7% 50.3% 46.4% 49.1% 1241 ↓ low
20 Water Exalted Mordred 1 2.4% 5 20.0% 37.7% 44.3% 45.7% 1156 ↓ low
21 Fire Luxem Assassin 3 7.3% 13 30.8% 33.8% 43.4% 42.0% 1368
22 Water Crux Assassin 1 2.4% 5 20.0% 34.7% 43.1% 43.1% 1234 ↓ low
23 Fire Exia 1 2.4% 6 8.3% 27.0% 41.8% 41.9% 1227 ↓ low
24 Fire Suited 1 2.4% 5 20.0% 30.9% 41.7% 39.7% 1365