← Michigan MRC Regionals

SlimesTier 2

at Michigan MRC Regionals

decks
12 (25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
56 23-26-7
overall winrate
47.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9% avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
48.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1271 · median 1229 · range 1089–1652 (12 pilots with an ELO rating)
1082 Q1 1184 Q3 1348 1652
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 14.6% 12 3-8-1 29.2% 34.4% 35.3% -6.3
Fire Crux Mage 8.3% 6 1-3-2 33.3% 40.0% 44.0% -3.2
Wind Shadowstrike 8.3% 5 4-1-0 80.0% 66.7% 66.1% +9.3
Fire Aggro 4.2% 4 4-0-0 100.0% 75.0% 72.4% +14.3
Fire Arcane 4.2% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 69.0% +14.2
Fire Crux Hybrid 4.2% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 46.6% -3.3
Fire Slimes 4.2% 6 3-3-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.2% +0.6
Water Allies 4.2% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.6% -0.3
Water Ravishing Mill 4.2% 3 0-2-1 16.7% 35.7% 33.3% -12.5
Fire Astra Cleric 2.1% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.9% -14.6
Fire Erupting 2.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.8% +9.2
Fire Umbra Ranger 2.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.2% +14.8
Water Umbra Ranger 2.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.1% -14.3
Wind Arcane 2.1% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 62.1% +11.6
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.1% 0
Wind Overlord 2.1% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 33.1% -16.3
Wind Silvie 2.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.1% -15.9
Wind Slice & Dice 2.1% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 41.2% -6.6
Decklists · 12 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 7 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 7 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Twilight Slime, Ethereal Slime, Beastbond Paws. Losers more often ran: Slime King, Slime's Blessing, Tariff Ring.

Played more by winners
Twilight Slime
Winning decks ran 2.6 copies on average, losing decks 1.7.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Ethereal Slime
Winning decks ran 3.7 copies on average, losing decks 2.9.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 3.
Beastbond Paws
Winning decks ran 0.4 copies on average, losing decks 0.1.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 3.
Gather Slimes
Winning decks ran 3.4 copies on average, losing decks 3.1.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 3.
Backup Charger
Winning decks ran 0.9 copies on average, losing decks 0.6.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 3.
Baby Blue Slime
Winning decks ran 1.6 copies on average, losing decks 0.9.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 1.
Played more by losers
Slime King
Losing decks ran 1.1 copies on average, winning decks 0.7.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 0.
Slime's Blessing
Losing decks ran 2.0 copies on average, winning decks 0.7.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Tariff Ring
Losing decks ran 0.9 copies on average, winning decks 0.4.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Beastbond Ears
Losing decks ran 0.7 copies on average, winning decks 0.3.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Show all 58 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 38 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Slime King -0.43 2 5 0
Slime's Blessing -0.43 1 4 1
Tariff Ring -0.43 1 4 2
Twilight Slime +0.43 4 1 2
Beastbond Ears -0.43 1 4 1
Hub of Innovation -0.29 0 2 0
Ethereal Slime +0.29 3 1 3
Resolute Stand +0.29 2 0 0
Key Slime Pudding -0.29 0 2 0
Beastbond Paws +0.29 3 1 0
Dungeon Guide +0.29 2 0 5
Cell Assembler -0.29 0 2 0
Forest Cake +0.29 2 0 5
Grand Crusader's Ring -0.29 0 2 0
Idle Thoughts -0.29 0 2 0
Green Slime -0.29 0 2 0
Orb of Glitter -0.29 0 2 0
Beastbond Boots +0.29 2 0 5
Gather Slimes +0.29 3 1 3
Slime Totem -0.29 0 2 0
Backup Charger +0.29 3 1 3
Covenant of Thorns +0.29 2 0 5
Baby Blue Slime +0.29 4 2 0
Scavenging Raccoon -0.29 0 2 0
Steady Verse -0.29 0 2 0
Quicksilver Grail +0.29 2 0 5
Stonescale Band +0.29 3 1 3
Red Slime -0.29 0 2 0
Gaia's Blessing +0.29 2 0 5
Escape the Wreckage +0.29 4 2 0
Slime Nexus -0.29 0 2 0
Convoking Slime -0.29 0 2 0
Azure Protective Trinket -0.29 0 2 0
Ordinary Bear +0.29 3 1 0
Horn of Beastcalling +0.14 3 2 2
Engineered Slime +0.14 3 2 0
Hymn of Gaia's Grace +0.14 3 2 0
Bestial Frenzy +0.14 3 2 2
Wind Resonance Bauble +0.14 2 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +0.14 2 1 1
Verdant Slime +0.14 3 2 1
Dusklight Communion +0.14 1 0 0
Diana, Duskstalker +0.14 1 0 0
Gaia's Songbird -0.14 1 2 1
Vampiric Slime +0.00 2 2 2
Tithe Proclamation +0.00 1 1 1
Blissful Calling +0.00 2 2 3
Slimeshield +0.00 1 1 5
Lustrous Slime +0.00 3 3 1
Turbo Charge +0.00 2 2 2
Reprogram +0.00 3 3 0
Slime Eruption +0.00 3 3 1
Baby Green Slime +0.00 1 1 5
Young Beastbonder +0.00 1 1 0
Bedivere, Woodland Overseer +0.00 1 1 0
Powercell +0.00 1 1 0
Seed of Nature +0.00 1 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/5232/archetypes/Slimes