EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Webcam Weekly .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 5 | 6.7% | 16 | 68.8% | 50.5% | 60.3% | 50.3% | 1293 | — |
| 2 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 50.5% | 58.7% | 50.5% | 1358 | — |
| 3 | Wind Vanitas | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.2% | 57.1% | 50.7% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 37.5% | 49.5% | 55.0% | 50.5% | 1270 | — |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 6 | 8.0% | 20 | 70.0% | 51.1% | 54.6% | 50.2% | 1349 | — |
| 6 | Water Allies | 3 | 4.0% | 12 | 54.2% | 50.3% | 54.0% | 50.3% | 1469 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Tristan | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 50.9% | 53.7% | 50.3% | 1359 | — |
| 8 | Fire Neos | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.4% | 52.2% | 50.3% | 1259 | — |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 7 | 9.3% | 26 | 55.8% | 50.9% | 51.5% | 50.4% | 1395 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Slimes | 11 | 14.7% | 31 | 59.7% | 51.4% | 51.0% | 50.3% | 1245 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.3% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.7% | 50.8% | 50.6% | 1369 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Wind Overlord | 2 | 2.7% | 6 | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.5% | 49.8% | 1467 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Water Neos | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.3% | 49.6% | 49.6% | 1567 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Fire Slimes | 4 | 5.3% | 14 | 42.9% | 49.9% | 48.9% | 50.1% | 1322 | — |
| 15 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 1.3% | 5 | 70.0% | 50.1% | 48.8% | 49.4% | 1349 | — |
| 16 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 2.7% | 6 | 41.7% | 49.2% | 48.5% | 49.7% | 1434 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Water Ravishing Mill | 5 | 6.7% | 17 | 47.1% | 50.2% | 47.6% | 50.0% | 1290 | — |
| 18 | Fire Umbra Diana | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 49.2% | 46.4% | 49.8% | 1055 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Diana | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 51.5% | 46.2% | 49.7% | 1454 | ↑ top |
| 20 | Fire Arcane | 3 | 4.0% | 11 | 36.4% | 48.8% | 46.1% | 49.6% | 1274 | — |
| 21 | Wind Umbra Tristan | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 48.9% | 45.9% | 49.6% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 1.3% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.1% | 45.8% | 49.7% | 1349 | — |
| 23 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 3 | 4.0% | 12 | 37.5% | 48.3% | 45.7% | 49.3% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 24 | Wind Shadowstrike | 8 | 10.7% | 29 | 37.9% | 48.8% | 45.5% | 49.5% | 1263 | — |
| 25 | Fire Neos Tonoris | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.3% | 44.3% | 49.2% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 26 | Wind Neos | 2 | 2.7% | 8 | 25.0% | 49.7% | 44.0% | 49.6% | 1068 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 37.5% | 49.8% | 43.5% | 49.6% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Fire Erupting | 2 | 2.7% | 5 | 20.0% | 48.5% | 42.4% | 49.4% | 1187 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 49.2% | 41.0% | 49.2% | 1195 | ↓ low |
| 30 | Water Arcane | 1 | 1.3% | 2 | 25.0% | 49.6% | 40.8% | 49.3% | 1106 | ↓ low |