SlimesTier 1
at FTG Grand Archive Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 73.2% | +22.3 |
| Fire Erupting | 6.2% | 6 | 0-5-1 | 8.3% | 25.0% | 33.0% | -9.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -2.4 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.5% | -9.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -1.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.4% | +1.8 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.3% | +17.6 |
| Wind Slimes | 4.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 4.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.3% | -5.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Fire Lorraine | 2.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.8% | -6.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.2% | +11.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Water Neos | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.6 |
| Wind Neos | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Tera Sight, Verdant Slime, Lustrous Slime. Losers more often ran: Ordinary Bear, Nullifying Lantern, Gaia's Songbird.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary Bear | -0.50 | 1 | 4 | 1 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdant Scepter | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Convoking Slime | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Beastbond Boots | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Reprogram | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 2 |