FTG Grand Archive Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 1	9	18.8%	19-15-4	55.3%	54.0%	50.7%	51.5%	1308	—
2		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	3	6.2%	12-5-1	69.4%	50.5%	50.3%	45.6%	1415	↑ top
3		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	3	6.2%	13-2-1	84.4%	66.7%	61.7%	57.9%	1478	↑ top
4		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	3	6.2%	5-9-1	36.7%	45.4%	47.6%	49.9%	1346	—
5		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	6.2%	9-9-0	50.0%	40.9%	52.2%	48.4%	1366	↑ top
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	6.2%	7-6-2	53.3%	53.1%	50.9%	51.7%	1300	—
7		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	4.2%	5-5-0	50.0%	54.9%	48.4%	51.3%	1319	—
8		Fire Astra Cleric	Tier 1	2	4.2%	5-5-1	50.0%	57.1%	50.2%	53.5%	1236	↓ low
9		Norm Tera Silvie	Tier 2	2	4.2%	2-5-1	31.2%	42.6%	46.9%	48.8%	1110	↓ low
10		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	4.2%	2-5-0	28.6%	28.2%	41.1%	38.8%	1236	↓ low
11		Wind Slimes	Tier 1	2	4.2%	4-3-1	56.2%	45.8%	53.0%	48.9%	1423	↑ top
12		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	2	4.2%	6-4-0	60.0%	59.9%	53.1%	53.9%	1332	—
13		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-5-0	16.7%	34.0%	43.0%	44.8%	1175	↓ low
14		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.1%	0-2-0	0.0%	39.9%	40.0%	45.7%	1128	↓ low
15		Fire Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	68.4%	56.0%	58.2%	1340	—
16		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	50.1%	44.7%	46.4%	1395	↑ top
17		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-1-0	50.0%	58.0%	48.0%	53.3%	1091	↓ low
18		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	60.3%	45.7%	50.7%	1191	↓ low
19		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-5-0	16.7%	42.3%	41.1%	45.2%	1153	↓ low
20		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.1%	0-2-0	0.0%	39.8%	40.0%	44.4%	976	↓ low
21		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-5-0	16.7%	42.2%	45.0%	49.6%	1247	—
22		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-3-1	41.7%	35.8%	43.2%	43.0%	1349	↑ top
23		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	59.7%	44.2%	48.4%	1164	↓ low
24		Wind Umbra Tristan	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	42.5%	43.3%	45.1%	1250	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 9 decks · 18.8%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 3 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Erupting 3 decks · 6.2%
• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 4.2%
• Fire Astra Cleric 2 decks · 4.2%
• Norm Tera Silvie 2 decks · 4.2%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 4.2%
• Wind Slimes 2 decks · 4.2%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 4.2%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Lorraine 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Umbra Tristan 1 deck · 2.1%