← Game Kastle Greenville: Grand Archive Regional Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Game Kastle Greenville: Grand Archive Regional Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 4 | 12.5% | 17 | 85.3% | 78.4% | 59.2% | 58.5% | 1246 | — |
| 2 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.2% | 55.8% | 54.9% | 1223 | — |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 70.0% | 52.6% | 55.1% | 50.3% | 1348 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 54.3% | 52.1% | 51.6% | 1388 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Lorraine | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 52.2% | 51.8% | 52.4% | 1212 | — |
| 6 | Water Allies | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 70.0% | 51.0% | 51.7% | 48.0% | 1385 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 2 | 6.2% | 11 | 68.2% | 63.7% | 51.3% | 51.3% | 1240 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 9.4% | 13 | 57.7% | 58.0% | 51.1% | 51.9% | 1342 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 2 | 6.2% | 10 | 50.0% | 47.3% | 50.4% | 49.4% | 1212 | — |
| 10 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 30.0% | 38.5% | 48.8% | 47.9% | 1280 | — |
| 11 | Slimes | 3 | 9.4% | 13 | 26.9% | 34.6% | 46.4% | 47.1% | 1127 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Neos | 2 | 6.2% | 10 | 40.0% | 46.9% | 46.3% | 48.3% | 1275 | — |
| 13 | Wind Shadowstrike | 6 | 18.8% | 23 | 45.7% | 47.1% | 45.7% | 46.1% | 1243 | — |
| 14 | Water Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 30.0% | 44.5% | 45.4% | 47.9% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 30.0% | 39.3% | 43.3% | 43.5% | 1395 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 30.0% | 40.4% | 41.1% | 41.3% | 1169 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 33.3% | 34.2% | 40.9% | 38.7% | 1427 | ↑ top |
| 18 | Fire Arisanna | 1 | 3.1% | 4 | 0.0% | 29.6% | 36.0% | 38.1% | 1072 | ↓ low |