Island Radiant Origins Grand Archive Store Championships

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	6	18.8%	17-12-1	58.3%	61.2%	53.1%	55.1%	1306	—
2		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	4	12.5%	13-8-0	61.9%	52.0%	56.3%	51.7%	1328	—
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	9.4%	12-5-0	70.6%	56.7%	54.7%	51.1%	1401	↑ top
4		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	3	9.4%	6-8-1	43.3%	48.7%	45.9%	47.8%	1363	↑ top
5		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	3	9.4%	3-7-0	30.0%	39.1%	45.3%	46.1%	1215	↓ low
6		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	6.2%	3-4-1	43.8%	42.6%	44.1%	44.7%	1299	—
7		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	2	6.2%	5-3-1	61.1%	53.6%	49.4%	48.4%	1349	↑ top
8		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	50.7%	45.7%	49.0%	1182	↓ low
9		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	50.3%	43.3%	47.5%	1180	↓ low
10		Fire Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-2-1	16.7%	41.2%	40.9%	44.9%	1165	↓ low
11		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-1	30.0%	43.6%	50.8%	51.9%	1124	↓ low
12		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	48.4%	51.3%	48.0%	1367	↑ top
13		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-1	30.0%	47.0%	45.6%	48.7%	1173	↓ low
14		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	51.7%	48.1%	47.8%	1432	↑ top
15		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	33.6%	40.0%	45.4%	1156	↓ low
16		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-1	30.0%	40.3%	45.0%	44.9%	1220	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Oblation 6 decks · 18.8%
• Fire Suzaku 4 decks · 12.5%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 9.4%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 9.4%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 9.4%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Tera Cleric 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 3.1%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 3.1%