← Island Radiant Origins Grand Archive Store Championships
Wind Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Island Radiant Origins Grand Archive Store Championships
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 18.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Water Neos | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.1 |
| Wind Byakko | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 24 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Noble Dissolution | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gleaming Cut | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sasha, Purifying Acolyte | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Luxem Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Caliburn of Silencing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windwalker Boots | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Angel Attendant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Angelic Channeling | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aella, Zephyr's Hand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Striking Illuminance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Surveil the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Gyre | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |