← Island Radiant Origins Grand Archive Store Championships
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at Island Radiant Origins Grand Archive Store Championships
decks
4
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21
13-8-0
overall winrate
61.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.0%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
56.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1328
· median 1281
· range 1211–1538
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1109
Q1 1181
Q3 1372
1730
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 18.8% | 9 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 61.5% | 53.7% | +1.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.1% | -4.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.9% | +11.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 48.8% | -0.9 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -21.0 |
| Fire Suited | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Water Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
