Wind AlliesTier 2

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

• Tamastor 80 cards · placed #2
• Kropivc 80 cards · placed #11
• sungorio 80 cards · placed #16
• KBarnabas 72 cards · placed #19

In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Losers more often ran: Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa, Swift Recruit.

↑ Played more by winners

No cards correlated with winning.

↓ Played more by losers

Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa

Losing decks ran 2.7 copies on average, winning decks 1.3.

Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

Swift Recruit

Losing decks ran 3.0 copies on average, winning decks 2.3.

Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.