← CoreTCG Grand Archive Regional Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CoreTCG Grand Archive Regional Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 5 | 7.8% | 28 | 51.8% | 54.3% | 54.7% | 56.0% | 1235 | — |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 10 | 15.6% | 55 | 63.6% | 58.6% | 53.6% | 51.1% | 1330 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 66.7% | 55.9% | 53.0% | 51.4% | 1638 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 66.7% | 55.2% | 52.7% | 50.6% | 1561 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 5 | 7.8% | 31 | 62.9% | 57.2% | 52.0% | 50.6% | 1301 | — |
| 6 | Water Umbra Ranger | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 52.0% | 51.3% | 1250 | — |
| 7 | Water Luxem Assassin | 2 | 3.1% | 12 | 66.7% | 58.6% | 52.0% | 50.4% | 1364 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Arcane | 4 | 6.2% | 25 | 48.0% | 45.3% | 51.7% | 50.5% | 1357 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Allies | 9 | 14.1% | 50 | 52.0% | 53.6% | 50.9% | 52.2% | 1263 | — |
| 10 | Fire Neos Tonoris | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 1310 | — |
| 11 | Fire Luxem Zander | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 33.3% | 41.1% | 49.0% | 48.6% | 1089 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Erupting | 4 | 6.2% | 24 | 50.0% | 49.0% | 48.9% | 48.2% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 4 | 6.2% | 21 | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.3% | 48.7% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Umbra Diana | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 33.3% | 47.8% | 46.7% | 49.2% | 1055 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 25.0% | 35.8% | 46.6% | 47.1% | 1325 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Wind Crux Mage | 2 | 3.1% | 13 | 46.2% | 41.9% | 46.0% | 44.6% | 1273 | — |
| 17 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 33.3% | 47.3% | 45.9% | 49.3% | 1130 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Water Vanitas | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 33.3% | 47.4% | 45.8% | 48.7% | 1090 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Fire Aggro | 7 | 10.9% | 38 | 38.2% | 42.4% | 44.4% | 46.4% | 1183 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Tera Silvie | 1 | 1.6% | 7 | 42.9% | 49.1% | 44.0% | 45.9% | 1199 | — |
| 21 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 41.7% | 44.8% | 42.4% | 42.8% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 22 | Fire Diana | 1 | 1.6% | 7 | 35.7% | 45.6% | 41.7% | 44.3% | 1125 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Wind Arisanna | 1 | 1.6% | 7 | 21.4% | 33.0% | 41.0% | 42.0% | 1266 | — |
| 24 | Fire Neos | 1 | 1.6% | 6 | 16.7% | 33.2% | 40.9% | 41.9% | 1021 | ↓ low |