Wind AlliesTier 1
at Brisbane Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.2% | +2.4 |
| Fire Erupting | 11.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.0% | -5.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.8% | +6.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 5.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.0% | -11.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +12.1 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 5.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.6% | +0.6 |
| Wind Beast | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.9 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Enhance Potency | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Distilled Atrophy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Draught of Stamina | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Might of Humanity | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Allied Warpriestess | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arisanna, Herbalist Prodigy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wildgrowth Elixir | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Imperial Recruit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ingredient Pouch | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arisanna, Master Alchemist | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Foraging Servant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enchaining Gale | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |