Brisbane Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Allies	Tier 1	4	22.2%	10-6-2	61.1%	53.9%	53.5%	51.5%	1224	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	2	11.1%	5-2-1	68.8%	63.6%	52.8%	54.2%	1265	—
3		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	2	11.1%	4-6-0	40.0%	42.6%	49.3%	49.2%	1233	—
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	11.1%	0-7-1	6.2%	23.5%	39.3%	40.7%	1118	↓ low
5		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	2	11.1%	5-3-0	62.5%	54.5%	53.3%	52.2%	1329	↑ top
6		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	5.6%	1-4-0	20.0%	36.6%	44.4%	46.4%	1336	↑ top
7		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	5.6%	2-2-1	50.0%	47.9%	50.0%	49.2%	1184	↓ low
8		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 1	1	5.6%	5-0-0	100.0%	71.8%	65.7%	62.1%	1378	↑ top
9		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	5.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	48.2%	43.3%	45.9%	1217	—
10		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	5.6%	2-2-1	50.0%	58.9%	47.4%	52.2%	1270	—
11		Wind Beast	Tier 2	1	5.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	49.9%	45.2%	47.4%	1159	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Allies 4 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Erupting 2 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 11.1%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 5.6%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 5.6%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 5.6%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 5.6%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 5.6%
• Wind Beast 1 deck · 5.6%