MRC Massachusetts Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	6	14.3%	23-8-4	71.4%	62.2%	58.8%	55.5%	1348	↑ top
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	6	14.3%	13-13-2	50.0%	52.7%	48.1%	49.7%	1259	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	5	11.9%	11-14-0	44.0%	44.5%	47.0%	47.0%	1297	—
4		Wind Allies	Tier 1	5	11.9%	14-14-1	50.0%	50.8%	49.0%	50.1%	1214	—
5		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	4	9.5%	9-7-4	55.0%	52.7%	53.4%	52.5%	1285	—
6		Water Allies	Tier 1	3	7.1%	9-8-1	52.8%	50.5%	50.1%	49.8%	1210	—
7		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	2	4.8%	4-4-1	50.0%	52.7%	47.5%	48.9%	1197	↓ low
8		Slimes	Tier 2	2	4.8%	1-8-1	15.0%	28.0%	39.5%	40.5%	1147	↓ low
9		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-4-0	20.0%	38.7%	41.2%	43.6%	1136	↓ low
10		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	55.1%	51.0%	51.4%	1432	↑ top
11		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-5-0	16.7%	33.6%	41.7%	43.5%	1104	↓ low
12		Norm Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-0	60.0%	49.3%	50.0%	47.3%	1201	↓ low
13		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-3-0	25.0%	45.1%	45.6%	49.0%	1115	↓ low
14		Water Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-3-1	41.7%	44.6%	46.3%	46.4%	1139	↓ low
15		Wind Diana	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-4-1	25.0%	41.4%	42.6%	45.4%	1191	↓ low
16		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-1-1	75.0%	62.1%	53.8%	53.1%	1349	↑ top
17		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-2-2	50.0%	54.4%	50.7%	53.3%	1311	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Ravishing Mill 6 decks · 14.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Aggro 5 decks · 11.9%
• Wind Allies 5 decks · 11.9%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 4 decks · 9.5%
• Water Allies 3 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Erupting 2 decks · 4.8%
• Slimes 2 decks · 4.8%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.4%
• Norm Tera Silvie 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Crux Merlin 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Diana 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 2.4%