Wind Luxem AssassinTier 2
at MRC Massachusetts Regionals
decks
1
(2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-1-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.1%
avg ELO +6.4 per match
expected value
53.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1349
· median 1349
· range 1349–1349
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1162
Q3 1329
1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.0% | +3.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.9 |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Fire Erupting | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +8.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
