← MRC Massachusetts Regionals

Fire Umbra RangerTier 2

at MRC Massachusetts Regionals

decks
1 (2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
33.6% avg ELO -8.7 per match
expected value
41.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1104 · median 1104 · range 1104–1104 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976 Q1 1162 Q3 1329 1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Ravishing Mill 14.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.8% -5.0
Wind Shadowstrike 14.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.4% -15.3
Fire Aggro 11.9% 0
Wind Allies 11.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.2% -17.3
Fire Crux Hybrid 9.5% 0
Water Allies 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.5% -15.1
Fire Erupting 4.8% 0
Slimes 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.3% +14.8
Fire Arcane 2.4% 0
Fire Slimes 2.4% 0
Norm Tera Silvie 2.4% 0
Water Crux Mage 2.4% 0
Water Crux Merlin 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.0% -14.4
Wind Diana 2.4% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 2.4% 0
Wind Slimes 2.4% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/6057/archetypes/Fire Umbra Ranger