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Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 16.7% | 12 | 7-5-0 | 58.3% | 56.2% | 54.8% | +2.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.8% | 9 | 4-5-0 | 44.4% | 46.2% | 47.1% | -1.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 11.5% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Wind Allies | 11.5% | 8 | 7-0-1 | 93.8% | 79.2% | 72.7% | +10.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.4% | +4.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 70.5% | +13.1 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.6% | -19.8 |
| Fire Neos | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -7.6 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 1.3% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 39.8% | -6.5 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Serum of Wisdom. Losers more often ran: Orb of Choking Fumes, Oasis Trading Post.
Show all 23 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distilled Atrophy | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Glitter | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peaceful Reunion | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Exorcise Curses | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Serum of Wisdom | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Choking Fumes | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Scry the Skies | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Juggle Knives | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Oasis Trading Post | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Caliburn of Silencing | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Planted Explosive | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Gawain, Chivalrous Thief | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 |