← Weatherlight Grand Archive ALC Regionals
Water Astra ClericTier 2
at Weatherlight Grand Archive ALC Regionals
decks
1
(1.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.9%
avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1354
· median 1354
· range 1354–1354
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
941
Q1 1161
Q3 1367
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 11.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +3.0 |
| Wind Allies | 11.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.4 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Cleric decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
