← Yeti Gaming July 28th Online Regionals
Water Luxem AssassinTier 3
at Yeti Gaming July 28th Online Regionals
decks
2
(0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-4-1
overall winrate
35.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.9%
avg ELO -2.1 per match
expected value
42.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1275
· median 1275
· range 1192–1358
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1204
Q3 1396
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 17.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.4 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slice & Dice | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
