← Grand Library League S2 Finals
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Library League S2 Finals.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Beast | 1 | 0.8% | 11 | 81.8% | 53.5% | 62.8% | 52.0% | 1300 | — |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 2.5% | 24 | 66.7% | 52.1% | 56.4% | 51.0% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Slimes | 31 | 26.3% | 123 | 56.1% | 50.9% | 56.2% | 51.0% | 1253 | — |
| 4 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 1.7% | 14 | 60.7% | 51.4% | 54.3% | 50.5% | 1377 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Merlin | 2 | 1.7% | 15 | 60.0% | 51.8% | 53.9% | 50.5% | 1459 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Allies | 2 | 1.7% | 10 | 65.0% | 48.9% | 53.3% | 49.2% | 1286 | — |
| 7 | Wind Allies | 5 | 4.2% | 28 | 51.8% | 50.2% | 52.8% | 50.5% | 1297 | — |
| 8 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 1.7% | 14 | 46.4% | 50.2% | 52.7% | 50.6% | 1128 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Arcane | 3 | 2.5% | 21 | 57.1% | 50.0% | 52.0% | 49.8% | 1349 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 6 | 5.1% | 41 | 54.9% | 49.9% | 50.2% | 49.6% | 1307 | — |
| 11 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 0.8% | 7 | 35.7% | 49.9% | 49.2% | 50.6% | 1203 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Astra Cleric | 1 | 0.8% | 7 | 42.9% | 49.1% | 49.0% | 49.9% | 1225 | — |
| 13 | Fire Lorraine | 4 | 3.4% | 22 | 50.0% | 48.5% | 48.5% | 49.3% | 1344 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 6 | 5.1% | 22 | 36.4% | 48.3% | 48.5% | 49.7% | 1202 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Erupting | 4 | 3.4% | 23 | 47.8% | 49.9% | 48.4% | 50.1% | 1237 | — |
| 16 | Water Ravishing Mill | 12 | 10.2% | 64 | 46.9% | 49.8% | 48.3% | 49.9% | 1306 | — |
| 17 | Water Astra Cleric | 2 | 1.7% | 8 | 31.2% | 48.8% | 47.4% | 49.9% | 1203 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 1.7% | 12 | 37.5% | 48.9% | 45.9% | 49.7% | 1210 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Crux Lorraine | 2 | 1.7% | 9 | 50.0% | 51.3% | 45.7% | 50.1% | 1324 | ↑ top |
| 20 | Fire Neos | 1 | 0.8% | 7 | 35.7% | 48.5% | 44.6% | 49.1% | 1084 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Wind Shadowstrike | 23 | 19.5% | 107 | 44.4% | 49.5% | 43.0% | 49.0% | 1256 | — |
| 22 | Wind Neos | 1 | 0.8% | 7 | 35.7% | 49.1% | 42.2% | 48.9% | 1249 | — |
| 23 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 0.8% | 5 | 20.0% | 46.3% | 41.0% | 48.5% | 1312 | — |
| 24 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 0.8% | 6 | 33.3% | 48.3% | 40.2% | 48.4% | 1025 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 0.8% | 5 | 0.0% | 45.9% | 35.5% | 47.5% | 1132 | ↓ low |