← 11/23 新莊貓 Mortal Ambition Regionals 北部場
SlimesTier 1
at 11/23 新莊貓 Mortal Ambition Regionals 北部場
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 12 | 8-4-0 | 66.7% | 62.5% | 58.1% | +3.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.2% | 8 | 5-2-1 | 68.8% | 62.5% | 56.2% | +3.0 |
| Fire Exia | 7.5% | 5 | 5-0-0 | 100.0% | 77.8% | 69.0% | +10.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.5% | 10 | 4-6-0 | 40.0% | 42.9% | 48.7% | -0.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 9 | 5-4-0 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 48.9% | -0.5 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 45.1% | -2.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 5 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 22.9% | -15.6 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -16.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 3 | 1-0-2 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.8% | +3.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 5 | 2-1-2 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 54.1% | +2.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 4 | 2-0-2 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 57.5% | +4.8 |
| Wind Tera Mage | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.0 |
| Water Allies | 1.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.0% | -7.7 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.6% | -19.9 |
| Water Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.2% | +13.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Wind Kongming | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.8% | +16.2 |
Decklists · 14 from this event
The 14 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Hymn of Gaia's Grace, Scavenging Raccoon, Nullifying Mirror. Losers more often ran: Baby Blue Slime, Gaia's Songbird, Turbo Charge.
Show all 41 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.83 | 5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.67 | 4 | 0 | 2 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | -0.67 | 1 | 5 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.67 | 4 | 0 | 2 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
| Blissful Calling | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
| Clockwork Musicbox | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdant Scepter | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Slime King | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Invective Instruction | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Engineered Slime | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime Totem | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Mechanical Hare | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 |