← Mana Pro AMB Regional Championship Singapore
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Mana Pro AMB Regional Championship Singapore
decks
9
(6.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
46
13-30-3
overall winrate
31.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.6%
avg ELO -5.0 per match
expected value
37.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1227
· median 1190
· range 1068–1373
(9 pilots with an ELO rating)
905
Q1 1184
Q3 1371
1633
11% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 14.0% | 8 | 1-7-0 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 32.0% | -8.6 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 13.3% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 41.0% | -5.2 |
| Slimes | 11.3% | 10 | 3-5-2 | 40.0% | 42.9% | 40.2% | -4.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.3% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.3% | -8.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 30.2% | -12.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.7% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 52.2% | +1.2 |
| Wind Allies | 6.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.2 |
| Water Allies | 4.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.4% | +14.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Water Arisanna | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Fire Exia decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
