← Mana Pro AMB Regional Championship Singapore

Wind AlliesTier 2

at Mana Pro AMB Regional Championship Singapore

decks

9 (6.0% of field)

matches (non-mirror)

45 15-23-7

overall winrate

41.1%

ELO-adjusted winrate

41.7% avg ELO -2.9 per match

expected value

43.6% share-weighted (raw)

EV (ELO-adj)

43.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)

Pilot Skill ↓ low

mean ELO 1202 · median 1206 · range 905–1444 (9 pilots with an ELO rating)

905 Q1 1184 Q3 1371 1633

22% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 44% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.

Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent	Their share	Matches	W-L-D	Raw WR	Shrunk WR	Adj WR	ELO Δ/match
Water Ravishing Mill	14.0%	6	2-4-0	33.3%	40.0%	44.0%	-3.2
Water Penguin Mill	13.3%	8	2-5-1	31.2%	37.5%	36.7%	-6.4
Slimes	11.3%	4	1-2-1	37.5%	43.8%	40.2%	-6.2
Wind Razorgale	11.3%	6	2-2-2	50.0%	50.0%	50.1%	+0.1
Fire Crux Mage	8.7%	3	0-3-0	0.0%	28.6%	29.4%	-15.4
Wind Astra Cleric	8.7%	2	0-0-2	50.0%	50.0%	47.1%	-2.8
Fire Exia	6.0%	4	2-2-0	50.0%	50.0%	51.9%	+1.2
Water Allies	4.7%	3	1-2-0	33.3%	42.9%	47.8%	-1.6
Wind Shadowstrike	4.0%	2	1-1-0	50.0%	50.0%	54.0%	+3.9
Fire Luxem Assassin	2.0%	1	0-1-0	0.0%	40.0%	38.6%	-18.2
Fire Slimes	1.3%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	56.8%	+10.8
Water Astra Cleric	1.3%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Water Luxem Assassin	1.3%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	57.6%	+12.2
Water Tera Mage	1.3%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	53.7%	+5.9
Fire Arcane	0.7%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Ravishing Mill	0.7%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Water Arisanna	0.7%	1	0-1-0	0.0%	40.0%	44.8%	-8.3
Water Diana	0.7%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Water Umbra Ranger	0.7%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	54.6%	+7.4
Wind Luxem Assassin	0.7%	1	0-0-1	50.0%	50.0%	49.6%	-0.7
Wind Silvie	0.7%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Slimes	0.7%	0	—	—	—	—	—

Decklists · 9 from this event

The 9 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar, Verdigris Decree, Oath of the Sakura. Losers more often ran: Fire Resonance Bauble, Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa, Windrider Vanguard.

↑ Played more by winners

Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar

Winning decks ran 2.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.

Verdigris Decree

Winning decks ran 2.3 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.

Oath of the Sakura

Winning decks ran 3.3 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.

Fairy Whispers

Winning decks ran 2.7 copies on average, losing decks 2.7.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

Dream Fairy

Winning decks ran 3.3 copies on average, losing decks 2.7.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

↓ Played more by losers