← Mana Pro AMB Regional Championship Singapore
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Mana Pro AMB Regional Championship Singapore
decks
3
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22
13-7-2
overall winrate
63.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.7%
avg ELO +4.8 per match
expected value
52.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1313
· median 1278
· range 1162–1498
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
905
Q1 1184
Q3 1371
1633
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 14.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.5% | +3.4 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 13.3% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.1 |
| Slimes | 11.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 63.6% | +8.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.8 |
| Fire Exia | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Water Allies | 4.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
