← Mana Pro AMB Regional Championship Singapore

Water ArisannaTier 2

at Mana Pro AMB Regional Championship Singapore

decks
1 (0.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 5-0-3
overall winrate
81.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
67.9% avg ELO +8.6 per match
expected value
57.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1214 · median 1214 · range 1214–1214 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
905 Q1 1184 Q3 1371 1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Ravishing Mill 14.0% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 60.3% +9.9
Water Penguin Mill 13.3% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 55.3% +5.1
Slimes 11.3% 0
Wind Razorgale 11.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.4% +16.7
Fire Crux Mage 8.7% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 8.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 52.5% +4.0
Fire Exia 6.0% 0
Wind Allies 6.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.2% +8.3
Water Allies 4.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.1% +9.8
Wind Shadowstrike 4.0% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.0% 0
Fire Slimes 1.3% 0
Water Astra Cleric 1.3% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 1.3% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.3% 0
Fire Arcane 0.7% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 0.7% 0
Water Diana 0.7% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 0.7% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 0.7% 0
Wind Silvie 0.7% 0
Wind Slimes 0.7% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Arisanna decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/13566/archetypes/Water Arisanna