← Yeti Gaming Online Regional 12/1/2024 10 AM Start Time

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming Online Regional 12/1/2024 10 AM Start Time. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Allies 16 13.0% 83 56.6% 52.7% 54.9% 51.7% 1377
2 Wind Razorgale 10 8.1% 51 56.9% 51.3% 54.2% 51.3% 1359
3 Water Exia 1 0.8% 7 42.9% 47.7% 53.5% 51.3% 1250 ↓ low
4 Water Tera Kongming 1 0.8% 7 57.1% 52.9% 53.0% 51.6% 1349
5 Water Penguin Mill 3 2.4% 17 52.9% 47.6% 51.4% 48.8% 1464 ↑ top
6 Water Umbra Ranger 1 0.8% 7 57.1% 49.9% 51.4% 49.6% 1548 ↑ top
7 Water Ravishing Mill 14 11.4% 74 55.4% 55.5% 50.8% 52.1% 1306
8 Fire Crux Mage 6 4.9% 32 53.1% 51.1% 50.8% 50.5% 1353
9 Wind Silvie 1 0.8% 5 50.0% 50.0% 50.6% 50.3% 1280 ↓ low
10 Slimes 17 13.8% 77 55.2% 51.7% 50.4% 49.7% 1336
11 Wind Astra Cleric 3 2.4% 18 50.0% 50.4% 49.4% 49.8% 1372
12 Wind Shadowstrike 9 7.3% 52 50.0% 50.6% 48.6% 49.8% 1290 ↓ low
13 Water Silvie 1 0.8% 3 33.3% 48.1% 48.6% 49.9% 1376
14 Fire Luxem Assassin 7 5.7% 38 52.6% 50.7% 48.5% 49.1% 1441 ↑ top
15 Water Crux Mage 3 2.4% 20 42.5% 43.0% 47.7% 46.9% 1481 ↑ top
16 Wind Umbra Tristan 1 0.8% 4 25.0% 42.1% 47.1% 48.0% 1358
17 Water Allies 7 5.7% 37 51.4% 49.9% 47.0% 48.4% 1364
18 Wind Crux Mage 2 1.6% 10 55.0% 52.5% 46.5% 48.8% 1357
19 Wind Slimes 1 0.8% 8 43.8% 44.2% 46.5% 46.3% 1311
20 Fire Slimes 5 4.1% 25 44.0% 46.0% 46.1% 48.1% 1359
21 Wind Luxem Assassin 1 0.8% 5 40.0% 48.9% 45.0% 48.2% 1316
22 Wind Triskit 1 0.8% 5 40.0% 48.9% 45.0% 48.2% 1316
23 Fire Exia 5 4.1% 25 38.0% 45.3% 44.9% 47.9% 1338
24 Fire Aggro 5 4.1% 27 35.2% 46.9% 43.9% 48.3% 1201 ↓ low
25 Water Luxem Assassin 1 0.8% 7 35.7% 47.2% 43.3% 47.9% 1201 ↓ low
26 Fire Tera Kongming 1 0.8% 5 10.0% 40.8% 41.1% 45.6% 1178 ↓ low
27 Fire Tera Tamer 1 0.8% 2 0.0% 42.0% 40.0% 45.3% 1219 ↓ low
28 Wind Cats 1 0.8% 7 14.3% 43.6% 39.7% 47.2% 1055 ↓ low
29 Fire Arcane 1 0.8% 4 12.5% 44.4% 39.2% 46.6% 1179 ↓ low