← CoreTCG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at CoreTCG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.2% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -2.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 10.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -1.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 54.0% | +2.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 38.2% | -11.3 |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Water Silvie | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -2.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.5% | -17.8 |
| Wind Exia | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Wind Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.3 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Mystic Purifier, Disintegrate, Fragmented Spirit of Fire. Losers more often ran: Lorraine, Wandering Warrior, Scatter Essence, Library Witch.
Show all 54 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 44 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mystic Purifier | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Disintegrate | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Thunderclap | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Freezing Steel | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fire | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Magus Disciple | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Banner Knight | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ghosts of Pendragon | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tether in Flames | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Hubris | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Kongming, Wayward Maven | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire, Black Market | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shard of Empowerment | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Clumsy Apprentice | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Drawn Blade | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Harmonious Mantra | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Worn Diary | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Fractal | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purge in Flames | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Focused Flames | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heighten Spellcraft | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lavasoul Tiger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Potion Infusion: Seal | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |