← CoreTCG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship

Wind NeosTier 2

at CoreTCG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship

decks
1 (1.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 3-3-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.5% avg ELO +1.3 per match
expected value
53.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1183 · median 1183 · range 1183–1183 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1005 Q1 1171 Q3 1403 1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 12.2% 0
Water Penguin Mill 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 63.4% +21.5
Water Ravishing Mill 8.9% 0
Fire Aggro 6.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.2% +14.8
Wind Astra Cleric 6.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.0% -1.6
Fire Crux Mage 5.6% 0
Wind Allies 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.9% -13.0
Water Allies 4.4% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 4.4% 0
Fire Exia 3.3% 0
Water Silvie 3.3% 0
Water Tera Mage 3.3% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 3.3% 0
Fire Slimes 2.2% 0
Water Crux Mage 2.2% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 2.2% 0
Fire Arcane 1.1% 0
Fire Neos 1.1% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 1.1% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.3% -18.8
Water Arisanna 1.1% 0
Water Exia 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.8% -10.0
Water Fractal 1.1% 0
Water Umbra Diana 1.1% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.1% 0
Wind Crux Mage 1.1% 0
Wind Exia 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.0% +16.0
Wind Razorgale 1.1% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 1.1% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Wind Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/15367/archetypes/Wind Neos