CoreTCG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 1	11	12.2%	20-20-11	50.0%	57.3%	49.2%	52.2%	1228	↓ low
2		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	9	10.0%	22-19-4	53.3%	51.5%	51.9%	51.3%	1370	↑ top
3		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	8	8.9%	16-12-11	55.1%	45.4%	51.4%	47.3%	1339	—
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	6	6.7%	18-16-5	52.6%	55.7%	50.9%	51.7%	1312	—
5		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	6	6.7%	10-10-10	50.0%	56.7%	47.8%	51.2%	1244	—
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	5	5.6%	13-12-3	51.8%	46.2%	51.5%	48.4%	1310	—
7		Wind Allies	Tier 2	5	5.6%	7-8-5	47.5%	45.2%	47.0%	45.7%	1229	↓ low
8		Water Allies	Tier 1	4	4.4%	13-7-7	61.1%	55.1%	54.7%	53.4%	1438	↑ top
9		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	4.4%	10-9-3	52.3%	52.9%	50.9%	51.3%	1350	—
10		Fire Exia	Tier 2	3	3.3%	2-9-1	20.8%	32.7%	43.3%	44.2%	1110	↓ low
11		Water Silvie	Tier 2	3	3.3%	7-7-3	50.0%	49.4%	51.6%	51.2%	1351	—
12		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	3	3.3%	0-6-2	12.5%	32.1%	42.6%	44.5%	1121	↓ low
13		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	3	3.3%	10-6-3	60.5%	47.0%	52.7%	47.3%	1506	↑ top
14		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	2.2%	3-5-2	40.0%	44.3%	46.9%	48.0%	1211	↓ low
15		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	2.2%	6-3-1	65.0%	47.8%	54.6%	49.2%	1459	↑ top
16		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	2.2%	5-6-1	45.8%	49.7%	49.1%	50.3%	1186	↓ low
17		Fire Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	41.2%	40.0%	46.5%	1060	↓ low
18		Fire Neos	Tier 3	1	1.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	35.9%	40.2%	42.1%	1159	↓ low
19		Fire Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.1%	3-3-1	50.0%	44.7%	47.8%	46.5%	1301	—
20		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	1.1%	2-4-1	35.7%	50.4%	48.6%	51.6%	1134	↓ low
21		Water Arisanna	Tier 2	1	1.1%	4-1-2	71.4%	56.6%	55.9%	53.6%	1474	↑ top
22		Water Exia	Tier 3	1	1.1%	3-2-2	57.1%	46.8%	47.1%	45.9%	1250	—
23		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	1.1%	4-1-2	71.4%	58.3%	53.6%	50.8%	1465	↑ top
24		Water Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	1.1%	2-1-4	57.1%	54.3%	53.4%	52.5%	1055	↓ low
25		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.1%	3-2-2	57.1%	58.6%	52.8%	53.9%	1426	↑ top
26		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 3	1	1.1%	3-4-0	42.9%	43.8%	47.3%	46.8%	1368	↑ top
27		Wind Exia	Tier 3	1	1.1%	0-5-0	0.0%	24.5%	38.3%	38.7%	1241	—
28		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	1.1%	3-3-1	50.0%	52.5%	53.1%	54.2%	1183	↓ low
29		Wind Razorgale	Tier 3	1	1.1%	3-3-1	50.0%	61.8%	44.7%	48.6%	1445	↑ top
30		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 3	1	1.1%	0-1-0	0.0%	43.8%	40.0%	43.8%	1174	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 11 decks · 12.2%
• Water Penguin Mill 9 decks · 10.0%
• Water Ravishing Mill 8 decks · 8.9%
• Fire Aggro 6 decks · 6.7%
• Wind Astra Cleric 6 decks · 6.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 5 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Allies 5 decks · 5.6%
• Water Allies 4 decks · 4.4%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Exia 3 decks · 3.3%
• Water Silvie 3 decks · 3.3%
• Water Tera Mage 3 decks · 3.3%
• Wind Luxem Zander 3 decks · 3.3%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 2.2%
• Water Crux Mage 2 decks · 2.2%
• Water Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 2.2%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Arisanna 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Exia 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 1.1%