← Card Merchant Hamilton Grand Archive Regionals (Mortal Ambition)
Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at Card Merchant Hamilton Grand Archive Regionals (Mortal Ambition)
decks
4
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
9-9-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.6%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1372
· median 1338
· range 1255–1558
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1253
Q3 1436
1584
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.5% | -3.5 |
| Slimes | 16.7% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 61.0% | +8.2 |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.4% | -23.4 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.7% | -11.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.5% | -17.8 |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.8% | +13.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -21.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
