← Card Merchant Hamilton Grand Archive Regionals (Mortal Ambition)
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Card Merchant Hamilton Grand Archive Regionals (Mortal Ambition)
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 68.1% | +13.5 |
| Slimes | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.1 |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.1% | -8.5 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.0% | -2.9 |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.4% | +3.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleansing Reunion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sharpening Stone | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Betraying Blade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |