← Card Merchant Hamilton Grand Archive Regionals (Mortal Ambition)
Wind RazorgaleTier 1
at Card Merchant Hamilton Grand Archive Regionals (Mortal Ambition)
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 46.7% | -3.2 |
| Slimes | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +21.0 |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.6% | -7.1 |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Wind Overlord | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 16 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleansing Reunion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Key Slime Pudding | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |